THE KIAMBAA BY-ELECTION AND 2022 POLITICS.


It’s laughable how some people have already predicted a Ruto win in the 2022 presidential elections, following the neck-to-neck run between Jubilee and its UDA offshoot, in the just concluded Kiambaa by-election. Let’s debunk this myth a little bit. First; by-election results from a single constituency, in one region of the country, can never be a conclusive sample of how things pan out in a general election. It’s not scientifically practical. A general election is too complex an exercise. It’s a different kettle of fish altogether.

RUTO AND MUSEVENI: STRANGE BEDFELLOWS OR BIRDS OF A FEATHER?


Given his military background, M7 is known to be a heavy consumer of intel. He has it together with his breakfast, lunch, dinner and all the snacks in between.

Make no mistake; M7 knows more secrets about the inside dealings of the Kenyan government than most of the top Kenyan politicians, plus you and I combined.

On the flipside, Kenya's intelligence service is arguably the best in the region. As the head of state and C-in-C, Uhuru regularly gets real-time intel on every move made by all top Kenyan political leaders and government officials, including his DP.

He's also privy to some top secrets regarding the inside dealings of neighbouring countries. Therefore, I won't be surprised if Uhuru knows exactly what M7 and Ruto have been discussing in the regular, unofficial visits that Ruto has been making to Uganda.

HAS DP RUTO FINALLY BECOME KENYA’S DE FACTO OPPOSITION LEADER?


His deviant entry into Kisii, despite the earlier opposition and protests on the ground, his language while addressing charged-up crowds, and his reference to his government in the third person voice, while criticizing it for misusing the police, are all hallmarks of opposition politics. "Walisema hustler hatakuja. Nimekuja sijakuja?" the DP, who seemed pleasantly surprised and reinvigorated by the frenzied reception he was accorded in Kisii, roared out. The crowd excitedly answered: "Umekuja!"

WHY IS UHURU DETERMINED TO FINISH RUTO POLITICALLY?


During the time when the so called Jubilee "dynamic duo" wore matching shirts, trousers, ties - and God knows what else was matching under those shirts and trousers; Ruto was a co-president in every respect, except by name. Now, their bromance is clearly over and the once tight Uhuru ruto relationship is unmistakably in tatters. Theirs was akin to a man trying to share a woman with his boss. You know how such situationships usually end up. That was Ruto's POLITICAL SUICIDE MISTAKE #1.

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