Let's not cheat each other. There's no love lost between independents and the presidential candidates that they purport to support. independents don't give a damn whether the presidential candidates win or not. All they care about is their political survival through all means possible. They only talk of supporting Raila or Uhuru because they don't want to look like they are antagonising the two presidential front-runners in their perceived strongholds. That will be political suicide.
Apparently, Jubilee banked on two wishes: That NASA disintegrates through their supposed weak link - Kalonzo or Raila fails to become its flagbearer. Forget about Jubilee's reverse psychology antics that they really wanted to face Raila because he is beatable. Raila has beaten them before and they know how hard he hits. And it turns out that they badly underestimated Kalonzo.